What kind of things to unsuccessful bettors tell people?

We all have someone in our life who has that habit of winning bets. You know the person; every time you speak to them, they have to tell you about their latest wins. While it can seem cool at first, you soon begin to realise a certain trend…namely they only tell you about wins. Speak to any bettor who does a good job on the markets and anyone who is being honest with you will say that they have plenty of losses alongside the headline wins!

The best bettors are the ones who are honest about the success and failures they have. Instead of listening to the friend you have who seems to only ever get big wins, it might be time to focus your attention to other people instead. How, though, can you tell if someone is telling the truth?

It can be tough, for sure, but it actually comes down to the language they use. If you want to tell a proper bettor from someone who is embellishing their success, we recommend you think about the following claims. If you hear someone making this claim, you have permission to raise an eyebrow!

What do unsuccessful bettors say to people?

You should listen to your gut!

Ah, the claim of a non-expert if I have ever heard one. If you are looking for way to find someone who is a bit of a bluffer, it’s the person who claims their wins come as a result of gut feeling. Sorry to say, but your gut probably isn’t sitting with a degree in mathematics. It’s unlikely that you are able to deduce magical calculations simply because you ‘feel it’s right’ or you like the kit of the team/jockey.

The only way to make sure that you see genuine results with betting is to have a logical system that you follow and stick to. It’s not going to be right all the time, nor will it be fail-proof. Sadly, nothing like this exists in the world – otherwise bookies would be bust and replaced with something else.

You should look to avoid betting on things based on emotion, gut feeling, or impulse. These are often the silliest bets to place because you are not using logic to think about the ‘but’ that comes with every bet. When you start to bet on emotion as opposed to logic, you start to run into major mistakes that can be quite costly.

I get my tips off social media

Anyone who claims they are getting winning tips off Facebook, Twitter, or anywhere else really, is talking utter nonsense. Social media has become a fine place to find all manner of ‘expert betting tips’ sites and groups. They are often built by addicts, scam merchants, and fake professionals trying to build an authority for themselves based on one or two decent calls.

You should avoid trying to find any tipster aid through social media. Funnily enough, the big name pros aren’t going to give out their tips and systems through an easily shared, easily stolen, non-profitable social media group. If you want a quality system for using when you bet, you probably need to look elsewhere. Or pay for it.

So, anyone who is claiming they’ve had a big win from a social media tip has been one thing and one thing only: lucky. There is no social media ground in the world that is filled with actually quality tips. Punts and guesses that come off? Sure. But actually logical betting based on a quality system? You’ll not find that for free on social media, sorry to say.

I missed out on a million pounds last week…

Whether they claim it’s a super accumulator they put on with the football or a horse racing multi that was so close to exploding, it’s a claim and a half. Many people though have the claim that they were a single win away from a life-changing sum of money.

To be honest, though, anyone who is telling you this probably needs the winnings. Successful gamblers and bettors are going to be making so much success that remembering losses is going to become a challenge for them. Try and avoid anyone who seems to dine out on the fact they ‘nearly’ made a winning call.

It’s not exactly impressive, is it?

It’s also one of the most ridiculously over-used claims by ‘pro bettors’ who don’t actually have a clue what they are doing. So, try and remember that if you hear anyone trying to proclaim their expertise based on a bet that actually lost. The right bettors are going to be the ones who don’t have to tell the world about their big wins or indeed their major losses that would have made their claims worth listening to!

I’m due a turn of luck…

This is the kind of comical claim that just about any fake expert is going to hit out at least once. You might be sitting there feeling insulting that I have mentioned this – but it’s not a dog at you. You aren’t proclaiming yourself as a professional, are you?

The professional experts who sit there and tell the world that they are ‘due a turn of luck’ are often trying to hide the fact everyone is noticing they are on quite the losing run. It’s probably best to avoid the utterings of anyone who believes their system has simply been the victim of bad luck.

It’s not the case – most of the time, systems will have some kind of planned percentage about how many bets will actually come off. If you start to see them drop dubiously below that percentage, then it points to a problem with the system.

And let’s be clear: there are no gambling gods. Nobody is secretly watching what you are putting on and rooting for you. There is no such thing as a ‘good run’ or ‘bad run’ in betting; just well thought-out bets and punts, basically.

Just pick the winners!

This is about as intelligent as saying “just boot the ball by the keeper, mate”, yet it has become a go-to staple of fake pros all around the industry. Let us be very fair if we can for a moment – picking winners is about a little bit more than simply ignoring odds and going for the big name. The thing that many people do is they focus on who they think would win as opposed to valuing the odds and looking for high-value bets to put on.

Good systems are built on finding undervalued markets and capitalising on them. Terrible systems are built on just putting punts on the teams/athletes/whatever that seems to do the best the most. You should be looking for bets on sports that are based on good value deals the bookies have overlooked.

When you just create a multiple accumulator that has all the top teams in football winning, it’s hardly impressive – nor is the monetary return. So, try and make sure that you look out for people who are giving you legitimate interesting bets and ideas that are based on some grounding in value, not just a punt based on big name players, teams, and athletes.

Here’s a sure thing…

And last but by no means least, the infamous ‘I have a big tip for you’ claim. These are the most preposterous of all claims, and more or less are always proven to utter nonsense. Unless the person you are talking to is involved in match fixing, there is no such thing as a ‘sure thing’ in any sporting world!

I mean, the reason for sports being so fun and so possible to bet on in the first place is their unpredictability. If you think that bookies would exist if there was such a thing as a sure thing, then you are looking in the totally wrong direction. There is no such thing as a certainty in sport. There are tips and suggestions based on a bit of insider knowledge or sporting expertise. That’s it.

Anyone who is telling you that they have a sure thing for you, you would probably be better putting a bet on the total opposite of what they said. In fact, keep this in mind – the best bettors aren’t exactly running around with a megaphone sharing their winning tips with the world, are they?

Remember, not everyone is honest about their betting

So, with the above list, you should now have a greater idea about what actually successful bettors are talking about. These are not the kind of phrases and terms that successful bettors use. Basically, flip every statement above and you will have something that a bettor who is being evasive with the truth would say.

It’s always good to know who is telling you a lie and who is telling you the truth in the sporting world. If you don’t want to start trusting average or flat-out poor bettors, make sure they sound the part.

What Does Each Way Betting mean?

Almost every other day, pundits and gamblers are always looking for new ways to beat the bookmakers. One such popular betting strategy is that of each-way betting.

So what does each way bet means?

Each way bet explained

One thing that users need to note is the fact that whenever they opt for each way betting, the bet is deemed as being two separate bets. Let me explain by taking the example of a horse race. If one plays each way bet in a horse race, for example, this would mean two things;

• The main bet is for a particular horse to win – if that horse ends up winning, then the individual’s bet would win.

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Why acknowledging the halo effect and availability heuristic can help you become a better bettor

The vast majority of people who bet on sports are first and foremost fans of the particular sport in question. They are likely to have accumulated knowledge about tennis, football, rugby or athletics long before they sought to make money from their predictions about it. It is partly for this reason that many sports bettors rely on their intuition when it comes to backing their forecasts with money.

Relying on instant reactions or gut feelings can be useful when you are trying to work out if someone is annoyed with you. However, it is not an ideal tool to rely on in the world of sports betting – in part because of a phenomenon known as the halo effect. This term refers to a cognitive bias in which our (often incomplete) impression of a person affects what we think about their character. For instance, we are more likely to associate positive characteristics with a photograph of a good-looking, smiling individual in a magazine than someone who is scruffily dressed and scowling, even though we do not know anything at all about the personalities of the people in question.

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How to bet on local football derbies to increase your chances of success

There is nothing quite like a local derby in football. No matter which club he or she supports, the first thing a fan will check when the season’s fixtures are released is when their team is scheduled to face its local rival.

Top-level European football is a globalised affair these days, and it is increasingly common for classic derbies such as Roma vs Lazio, Manchester City vs Manchester United and Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid to feature very few players born anywhere near the city in which the match is taking place. Yet despite this, these games continue to matter more than any other, with players and coaches quickly getting on board with the supporters’ passion.

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How can we explain home advantage in football?

Home advantage is a much explored phenomenon in the sporting world, and although there are conflicting views regarding the principal reason for its existence, few deny that it is real. It is particularly prominent in football, where playing on your own patch almost always increases your chances of victory in any given encounter.

In the 2018/19 English Premier League, the home side won 181 games and the away team triumphed in just 128 matches. Only one of the division’s 20 clubs collected more points in away matches than home ones.

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Does the hot-hand phenomenon exist in sports betting?

“Hot hand” is a word which comes from basketball. It refers to a player who is in good form, who is said to have hot hands. According to perceived wisdom, this player is more likely to be successful with a shot if his previous attempts were successful.

What does this have to do with sports betting, we hear you cry? Well, quite a lot, actually: there is a belief among some that a bettor who has been successful previously has a better chance of replicating that success in the future.

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The relationship between sports betting and economic bubbles

Irrationality in the market tends to benefit a small pool of investors, as seen in subprime mortgage bubbles. Believe it or not, there are similarities between this and the world of sports betting, where the prevention of information signalling can also cause market inefficiency.

When an asset is overvalued – that is, a higher value is attached to it than it is actually worth – the result is a bubble. In sports betting, a value bet is defined as one in which the probability of an outcome occurring is more likely than what the odds on it happening infer.

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